{"id":7870,"date":"2023-11-27T17:30:13","date_gmt":"2023-11-27T22:30:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/radiomiami.us\/?p=7870"},"modified":"2024-01-02T17:42:42","modified_gmt":"2024-01-02T22:42:42","slug":"los-cinco-colosales-desafios-economicos-que-debera-afrontar-javier-milei","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/radiomiami.us\/en\/los-cinco-colosales-desafios-economicos-que-debera-afrontar-javier-milei\/","title":{"rendered":"Los cinco colosales desaf\u00edos econ\u00f3micos que deber\u00e1 afrontar Javier Milei"},"content":{"rendered":"<header class=\"entry-header\">\n<h1 class=\"entry-title\"><\/h1>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"attachment-tapa size-tapa wp-post-image\" src=\"https:\/\/negocios.com.ar\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/Milei-828x558.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"828\" height=\"558\" \/><\/p>\n<h6 class=\"bajada\"><em>Su objetivo es lograr el equilibrio fiscal en 2024, una meta ambiciosa y que podr\u00eda encontrar su l\u00edmite en la delicada situaci\u00f3n social que vive Argentina, con un 40,1 % de pobreza, casi un 10 % de indigencia y salarios minados por la inflaci\u00f3n. El Banco Central tiene reservas netas negativas (-10.000 millones de d\u00f3lares, seg\u00fan c\u00e1lculos privados).<\/em><\/h6>\n<h6 class=\"anuncio_single_full\"><\/h6>\n<\/header>\n<div class=\"entry-content\">\n<h6><\/h6>\n<div id=\"google_ads_iframe_\/22254771232\/negocios_nota\/wide_1_0__container__\"><iframe id=\"google_ads_iframe_\/22254771232\/negocios_nota\/wide_1_0\" tabindex=\"0\" title=\"3rd party ad content\" role=\"region\" src=\"https:\/\/da6f667eb64921715f7be1d1603e22c0.safeframe.googlesyndication.com\/safeframe\/1-0-40\/html\/container.html\" name=\"\" width=\"728\" height=\"90\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" sandbox=\"allow-forms allow-popups allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox allow-same-origin allow-scripts allow-top-navigation-by-user-activation\" data-is-safeframe=\"true\" aria-label=\"Advertisement\" data-google-container-id=\"2\" data-load-complete=\"true\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<h6 class=\"has-drop-cap\">El economista libertario Javier Milei, quien asumir\u00e1 la Presidencia de Argentina el pr\u00f3ximo 10 de diciembre, ha prometido un cambio radical en el rumbo de la pol\u00edtica econ\u00f3mica de su pa\u00eds, cuyos severos desequilibrios le plantean colosales desaf\u00edos de gesti\u00f3n.<\/h6>\n<h6>1. Desaguisado cambiario<\/h6>\n<h6>Milei ha propuesto dolarizar la econom\u00eda como soluci\u00f3n a los severos desequilibrios macroecon\u00f3micos que arrastra el pa\u00eds. Sin embargo, su plan se topa con un escenario de base que compromete la viabilidad de su propuesta.<\/h6>\n<h6>El Banco Central tiene reservas netas negativas (-10.000 millones de d\u00f3lares, seg\u00fan c\u00e1lculos privados)\u00a0insuficientes para dolarizar pero, adem\u00e1s, para sostener el actual tipo de cambio oficial, con una brecha del 180 % respecto a la cotizaci\u00f3n paralela del d\u00f3lar.<\/h6>\n<h6>Si Milei desmonta sin m\u00e1s el intrincado \u00abcepo\u00bb cambiario -restricciones al acceso a divisas que el libertario ha prometido erradicar-, es incierta la magnitud de la correcci\u00f3n cambiaria que sobrevendr\u00eda y su inmediato efecto inflacionario.<\/h6>\n<div id=\"google_ads_iframe_\/22254771232\/negocios_nota\/video_outstream_0__container__\"><iframe id=\"google_ads_iframe_\/22254771232\/negocios_nota\/video_outstream_0\" tabindex=\"0\" title=\"3rd party ad content\" role=\"region\" src=\"https:\/\/da6f667eb64921715f7be1d1603e22c0.safeframe.googlesyndication.com\/safeframe\/1-0-40\/html\/container.html\" name=\"\" width=\"320\" height=\"240\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" sandbox=\"allow-forms allow-popups allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox allow-same-origin allow-scripts allow-top-navigation-by-user-activation\" data-is-safeframe=\"true\" aria-label=\"Advertisement\" data-google-container-id=\"3\" data-load-complete=\"true\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<h6>2. Riesgo de hiperinflaci\u00f3n<\/h6>\n<h6>Milei ha dicho ser consciente de la peligrosa din\u00e1mica que ya tienen\u00a0los precios, que\u00a0se ubicaron en el 142,7 % interanual en octubre, con una gran distorsi\u00f3n de precios e, incluso, muchas tarifas p\u00fablicas atrasadas que en alg\u00fan momento aumentar\u00e1n.<\/h6>\n<h6>Admiti\u00f3 que un escenario de hiperinflaci\u00f3n es posible si no se aplica con eficacia un plan de estabilizaci\u00f3n. Su idea es, a mediano plazo, lograr dominar la inercia inflacionaria mediante la disciplina fiscal y, finalmente, el cierre del Banco Central, cuya emisi\u00f3n monetaria es, a su juicio, la responsable de la inflaci\u00f3n y que ya no ser\u00e1 necesaria una vez dolarizada la econom\u00eda.<\/h6>\n<div id=\"google_ads_iframe_\/22254771232\/negocios_nota\/wide_2_0__container__\"><iframe id=\"google_ads_iframe_\/22254771232\/negocios_nota\/wide_2_0\" tabindex=\"0\" title=\"3rd party ad content\" role=\"region\" src=\"https:\/\/da6f667eb64921715f7be1d1603e22c0.safeframe.googlesyndication.com\/safeframe\/1-0-40\/html\/container.html\" name=\"\" width=\"728\" height=\"90\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" sandbox=\"allow-forms allow-popups allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox allow-same-origin allow-scripts allow-top-navigation-by-user-activation\" data-is-safeframe=\"true\" aria-label=\"Advertisement\" data-google-container-id=\"4\" data-load-complete=\"true\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<h6>Pero admiti\u00f3 que, una vez erradicada la emisi\u00f3n monetaria,\u00a0la inflaci\u00f3n seguir\u00e1 por 18 a 24 meses m\u00e1s.<\/h6>\n<h6>3. Ajuste \u00abde shock\u00bb<\/h6>\n<h6>Milei ha prometido aplicar un ajuste \u00abde shock\u00bb, recortando dr\u00e1sticamente el gasto p\u00fablico mediante la reducci\u00f3n del tama\u00f1o del Estado, la eliminaci\u00f3n de subsidios a, entre otras cosas, los servicios p\u00fablicos, y el fin de la inversi\u00f3n estatal en obras p\u00fablicas.<\/h6>\n<h6>Su objetivo es lograr el equilibrio fiscal en 2024, una meta ambiciosa y que podr\u00eda encontrar su l\u00edmite en la delicada situaci\u00f3n social que vive Argentina, con\u00a0un 40,1 % de pobreza, casi un 10 % de indigencia y salarios minados por la inflaci\u00f3n,\u00a0un escenario con poco margen para ajustes fuertes.<\/h6>\n<div id=\"google_ads_iframe_\/22254771232\/negocios_nota\/wide_3_0__container__\"><iframe id=\"google_ads_iframe_\/22254771232\/negocios_nota\/wide_3_0\" tabindex=\"0\" title=\"3rd party ad content\" role=\"region\" name=\"google_ads_iframe_\/22254771232\/negocios_nota\/wide_3_0\" width=\"728\" height=\"90\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" aria-label=\"Advertisement\" data-load-complete=\"true\" data-google-container-id=\"5\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<h6>4. Privatizaciones<\/h6>\n<h6>Como parte de su ideario de un Estado reducido a su m\u00ednima expresi\u00f3n, Milei ha afirmado su intenci\u00f3n de que el Estado se desprenda de su posici\u00f3n accionarial mayoritaria en YPF, una sociedad an\u00f3nima que cotiza en las Bolsas de Buenos Aires y Nueva York y que es la mayor productora de hidrocarburos de Argentina, con un rol estrat\u00e9gico en el din\u00e1mico sector energ\u00e9tico.<\/h6>\n<h6>No ha precisado c\u00f3mo ni en qu\u00e9 plazos piensa llevar adelante ese plan, ni tampoco ha detallado c\u00f3mo se instrumentar\u00eda su propuesta de que la estatal Aerol\u00edneas Argentinas, la l\u00ednea a\u00e9rea de bandera del pa\u00eds suramericano, pase a ser controlada por sus trabajadores, como ha sugerido en alg\u00fan momento de campa\u00f1a.<\/h6>\n<div id=\"google_ads_iframe_\/22254771232\/negocios_nota\/wide_4_0__container__\"><iframe id=\"google_ads_iframe_\/22254771232\/negocios_nota\/wide_4_0\" tabindex=\"0\" title=\"3rd party ad content\" role=\"region\" src=\"https:\/\/da6f667eb64921715f7be1d1603e22c0.safeframe.googlesyndication.com\/safeframe\/1-0-40\/html\/container.html\" name=\"\" width=\"728\" height=\"90\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" sandbox=\"allow-forms allow-popups allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox allow-same-origin allow-scripts allow-top-navigation-by-user-activation\" data-is-safeframe=\"true\" aria-label=\"Advertisement\" data-google-container-id=\"6\" data-load-complete=\"true\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<h6>5. Pesado endeudamiento<\/h6>\n<h6>Un desaf\u00edo inmediato para Milei ser\u00e1 sentarse a negociar con\u00a0el Fondo Monetario Internacional (FMI), organismo al que Argentina adeuda unos 46.000 millones de d\u00f3lares.<\/h6>\n<h6>Milei entiende que el acuerdo de refinanciaci\u00f3n firmado en 2022 con el FMI est\u00e1 \u00abca\u00eddo\u00bb toda vez que Argentina ha incumplido las metas de fiscales, de acumulaci\u00f3n de reservas y de tope a la financiaci\u00f3n del Tesoro por parte del Banco Central establecidas en ese pacto y cuyo cumplimiento es condici\u00f3n para que el Fondo gire trimestralmente desembolsos que, a su vez, permiten al pa\u00eds pagar los vencimientos con el organismo y no caer en mora.<\/h6>\n<div id=\"google_ads_iframe_\/22254771232\/negocios_nota\/wide_5_0__container__\"><iframe id=\"google_ads_iframe_\/22254771232\/negocios_nota\/wide_5_0\" tabindex=\"0\" title=\"3rd party ad content\" role=\"region\" name=\"google_ads_iframe_\/22254771232\/negocios_nota\/wide_5_0\" width=\"728\" height=\"90\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" aria-label=\"Advertisement\" data-load-complete=\"true\" data-google-container-id=\"7\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<h6>El mandatario electo advirti\u00f3 de que la cuesti\u00f3n no se limita al endeudamiento con el FMI y que es \u00abun problema a punto de explotar\u00bb que incluye vencimientos el a\u00f1o que viene de deuda en moneda argentina por\u00a0el equivalente a 90.000 millones de d\u00f3lares, compromisos con organismos multilaterales por 20.000 millones y deudas con importadores por 30.000 millones.<\/h6>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Su objetivo es lograr el equilibrio fiscal en 2024, una meta ambiciosa y que podr\u00eda encontrar su l\u00edmite en la delicada situaci\u00f3n social que vive Argentina, con un 40,1 % de pobreza, casi un 10 % de indigencia y salarios minados por la inflaci\u00f3n. El Banco Central tiene reservas netas negativas (-10.000 millones de d\u00f3lares, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":342,"featured_media":7871,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[493,488,510,494,499,596,495],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7870","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualidad","category-argentina","category-javier-milei","category-noticias","category-politica","category-radio-miami-us","category-tvradiomiami"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Los cinco colosales desaf\u00edos econ\u00f3micos que deber\u00e1 afrontar Javier Milei - Radio Miami<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/radiomiami.us\/en\/los-cinco-colosales-desafios-economicos-que-debera-afrontar-javier-milei\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Los cinco colosales desaf\u00edos econ\u00f3micos que deber\u00e1 afrontar Javier Milei - Radio Miami\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Su objetivo es lograr el equilibrio fiscal en 2024, una meta ambiciosa y que podr\u00eda encontrar su l\u00edmite en la delicada situaci\u00f3n social que vive Argentina, con un 40,1 % de pobreza, casi un 10 % de indigencia y salarios minados por la inflaci\u00f3n. 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