{"id":6875,"date":"2023-10-03T15:28:30","date_gmt":"2023-10-04T01:58:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/radiomiami.us\/?p=6875"},"modified":"2023-10-03T15:29:42","modified_gmt":"2023-10-04T01:59:42","slug":"argentina-goldman-sachs-advierte-sobre-los-peligros-de-la-dolarizacion-que-plantea-milei","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/radiomiami.us\/en\/argentina-goldman-sachs-advierte-sobre-los-peligros-de-la-dolarizacion-que-plantea-milei\/","title":{"rendered":"ARGENTINA: Goldman Sachs advierte sobre los peligros de la dolarizaci\u00f3n que plantea Milei"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"sc-5ceac8ae-0 gbfxvR\">\n<div class=\"mt\">\n<h1 class=\"storyTitle\"><\/h1>\n<ul>\n<li>El informe muestra los pros y contras de la propuesta de La Libertad Avanza.<\/li>\n<li>Seg\u00fan el banco de inversi\u00f3n, la Argentina no est\u00e1 en condiciones de llevar adelante una reforma monetaria.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"image-container\"><picture><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.clarin.com\/img\/2023\/10\/03\/6pP9APv_H_1256x620__1.jpg\" media=\"(min-width: 975px)\" \/><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.clarin.com\/img\/2023\/10\/03\/6pP9APv_H_360x240__1.jpg\" alt=\"Un informe de Goldman Sachs advierte sobre los peligros de la dolarizaci\u00f3n que plantea Milei\" width=\"360\" height=\"240\" data-nimg=\"future\" \/><\/picture><span class=\"epigraphe\"> Los efectos de la dolarizaci\u00f3n seg\u00fan un informe privado de Goldman Sachs. Reuters: Brendan<\/span><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<section class=\"sc-5ceac8ae-1 idqgEO\">\n<article id=\"storyBody\" class=\"sc-5ceac8ae-2 eIBLus\">\n<div class=\"StoryTextContainer\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Article Body\">\n<div class=\"sc-e874d216-0 fePodh container-text\">\n<p>El banco de inversi\u00f3n Goldman Sachs no qued\u00f3 ajeno a las cr\u00edticas que cosecha el proyecto de dolarizaci\u00f3n que el candidato a presidente Javier Milei pregona. En un informe, la entidad internacional se\u00f1ala que<strong>\u00a0la Argentina no est\u00e1 en condiciones<\/strong>\u00a0para amortiguar el costo que implicar\u00eda dolarizar.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"sc-e874d216-0 fePodh container-text\">\n<p>El informe que lleva las firmas de Alberto Ramos, economista jefe de Goldman para Am\u00e9rica latina, y Sergio Armella, tiene 19 p\u00e1ginas y fue titulado: \u201c\u00bfLa dolarizaci\u00f3n es una oferta que no se puede rechazar?\u201d.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"sc-e874d216-0 fePodh container-text\">\n<p>M\u00e1s all\u00e1 del alto costo, que el pa\u00eds no est\u00e1 en condiciones de afrontar, la lupa est\u00e1 puesta tambi\u00e9n sobre la\u00a0<strong>estricta disciplina fiscal,\u00a0<\/strong>que no s\u00f3lo resulta evitable, sino que es imprescindible a la hora de llevar adelante una<strong>\u00a0<\/strong>cruzada como esta.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"sc-5c9ff22a-5 jpEpfF\">\n<div id=\"div-gpt-ad-inread\" class=\"sc-dd1745b8-0 fvsSwU\" data-google-query-id=\"CMm-ofPh2oEDFUqlgwgdmiIJpA\">\n<div id=\"google_ads_iframe_\/242767168\/clarin\/economia\/nota\/inread_0__container__\" class=\"primisslate\">\n<p><iframe id=\"google_ads_iframe_\/242767168\/clarin\/economia\/nota\/inread_0\" tabindex=\"0\" title=\"3rd party ad content\" role=\"region\" name=\"google_ads_iframe_\/242767168\/clarin\/economia\/nota\/inread_0\" width=\"600\" height=\"450\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" aria-label=\"Advertisement\" data-load-complete=\"true\" data-google-container-id=\"k\" data-gtm-yt-inspected-20=\"true\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<div id=\"primis_container_div\">\n<div id=\"primis_playerSekindoSPlayer651c7feb6abb0\">\n<div id=\"Player-Div-SekindoSPlayer651c7feb6abb0\">\n<div id=\"Video-Div-SekindoSPlayer651c7feb6abb0\">\n<div id=\"Video-iFrame-SekindoSPlayer651c7feb6abb0\">\n<div id=\"videoContainerDiv\">\n<div><\/div>\n<div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"adContainerDiv\">\n<div id=\"adVpaid\">\n<div id=\"slotContainer\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"adIma\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"layoutContainerDiv\">\n<div id=\"layoutDesign\">\n<div id=\"transparentCover\">\n<div id=\"transparentInner\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"viewsElements\">\n<div id=\"viewsIcon\"><\/div>\n<div id=\"viewsNum\"><\/div>\n<div id=\"likesIcon\"><\/div>\n<div id=\"likesNum\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"topLeftElements\">\n<div id=\"titleObj\">\n<div id=\"titleTxt\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"topRightElements\">\n<div id=\"primisLogoWrapper\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"skipBtn\">\n<div id=\"ad-text:n\">Skip Ad<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"pixelsDiv\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><iframe id=\"sekindoNativeSkinFrameSekindoSPlayer651c7feb6abb0\" title=\"primisNativeSkinFrame_SekindoSPlayer651c7feb6abb0\" scrolling=\"no\" data-gtm-yt-inspected-20=\"true\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"sc-e874d216-0 fePodh container-text\">\n<p>\u201c<strong>El ajuste fiscal es la condici\u00f3n necesaria\u00a0<\/strong>para aprovechar al m\u00e1ximo la dolarizaci\u00f3n y compensar los costos y limitaciones obvios de tal medida\u201d, afirm\u00f3 el banco de inversi\u00f3n en un informe enviado a sus clientes.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"sc-e874d216-0 fePodh container-text\">\n<p><strong>\u201cSin disciplina fiscal, la dolarizaci\u00f3n podr\u00eda ser muy dolorosa o eventualmente colapsar\u201d<\/strong>, alertaron Ramos y Armella.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"sc-e874d216-0 fePodh container-text\">\n<p>Adem\u00e1s, el banco advirti\u00f3 que un descenso r\u00e1pido de la inflaci\u00f3n bajo ese r\u00e9gimen monetario es plausible, pero\u00a0<strong>\u201cno est\u00e1 garantizado\u201d.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"sc-e874d216-0 fePodh container-text\">\n<p>En su informe, Goldman Sachs enumer\u00f3 cuatro \u00edtems sobre el costo que implicar\u00eda dolarizar la econom\u00eda:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"sc-e874d216-0 fePodh container-text\">\n<ul>\n<li><strong>P\u00e9rdida de ingresos por se\u00f1oreaje procedente de la emisi\u00f3n de dinero<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"sc-e874d216-0 fePodh container-text\">\n<ul>\n<li>P\u00e9rdida del<strong>\u00a0control sobre la oferta de dinero.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"sc-e874d216-0 fePodh container-text\">\n<ul>\n<li>Queda\u00a0<strong>limitada la capacidad del Banco Central para actuar<\/strong>\u00a0como prestamista de \u00faltima instancia para el fisco, porque la emisi\u00f3n de moneda no es una opci\u00f3n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"sc-e874d216-0 fePodh container-text\">\n<ul>\n<li>P\u00e9rdida de la capacidad de utilizar la pol\u00edtica monetaria y cambiaria para responder a los shocks, tanto a trav\u00e9s del tipo de cambio, que puede actuar como un estabilizador, como de las tasas de inter\u00e9s, que puede ayudar a suavizar las fluctuaciones del ciclo econ\u00f3mico. As\u00ed, cualquier evento externo de volatilidad tiene un impacto directo en la econom\u00eda local.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"sc-e874d216-0 fePodh container-text\">\n<p>En el planteo de los economistas de Goldman Sachs se resalta<strong>\u00a0que la dolarizaci\u00f3n no es gratis\u00a0<\/strong>y que puede dejar<strong>\u00a0a la Argentina con menos herramientas\u00a0<\/strong>ante un eventual shock externa.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"sc-e874d216-0 fePodh container-text\">\n<p>Una de las consecuencias de ese proceso de dolarizaci\u00f3n es, para los dos expertos, que frente a una crisis externa y sin posibilidad de ajustar el tipo de cambio, los precios y los salarios de los servicios deber\u00edan caer para preservar la competitividad, algo similar a lo que ocurri\u00f3 en los 90.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"sc-e874d216-0 fePodh container-text\">\n<p>Por otro lado, a la hora de enumerar los beneficios, Ramos y Armella indicaron que \u201clos m\u00e1s visibles se inclinan<strong>\u00a0hacia el corto plazo y hacia una desinflaci\u00f3n relativamente r\u00e1pida\u00a0<\/strong>debido al cese inmediato de la imprenta y al reemplazo de una moneda d\u00e9bil con una demanda limitada y decreciente por una moneda con mercados profundos y respaldada por la credibilidad de la Reserva Federal de Estados Unidos\u201d.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"sc-e874d216-0 fePodh container-text\">\n<p>Aunque sobre \u00abel r\u00e1pido avance de la desinflaci\u00f3n, si bien es ciertamente posible, no est\u00e1 garantizado\u201d.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"sc-5c9ff22a-5 jpEpfF\">\n<div id=\"div-gpt-ad-inread4\" class=\"sc-dd1745b8-0 fvsSwU\" data-google-query-id=\"CLnJqfPh2oEDFUqlgwgdmiIJpA\">\n<div id=\"google_ads_iframe_\/242767168\/clarin\/economia\/nota\/inread4_0__container__\"><iframe id=\"google_ads_iframe_\/242767168\/clarin\/economia\/nota\/inread4_0\" tabindex=\"0\" title=\"3rd party ad content\" role=\"region\" name=\"google_ads_iframe_\/242767168\/clarin\/economia\/nota\/inread4_0\" width=\"600\" height=\"450\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" aria-label=\"Advertisement\" data-load-complete=\"true\" data-google-container-id=\"n\" data-gtm-yt-inspected-20=\"true\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"sc-e874d216-0 fePodh container-text\">\n<p>Por otro lado, el informe\u00a0<strong>plantea un camino alternativo\u00a0<\/strong>para encausar a la econom\u00eda argentina y colocarla en un sendero de crecimiento sostenible sin inflaci\u00f3n:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"sc-e874d216-0 fePodh container-text\">\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u201cUn ajuste fiscal estructural, r\u00e1pido y tangible\u201d,<\/strong>\u00a0un banco central independiente, que adem\u00e1s deje de financiar al Tesoro<\/li>\n<li>La liberalizaci\u00f3n financiera, es decir, la eliminaci\u00f3n de los m\u00faltiples tipos de cambio, \u201ccepos\u201d y controles de capitales,<\/li>\n<li>La implementaci\u00f3n de reformas estructurales que lleven a una econom\u00eda \u201cm\u00e1s abierta, productiva y flexible\u201d.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"sc-e874d216-0 fePodh container-text\">\n<p>Eso \u201cpodr\u00eda ser suficiente<strong>\u00a0para poner a la econom\u00eda en un camino sostenible\u00a0<\/strong>sin la necesidad de adoptar el paso dr\u00e1stico de la dolarizaci\u00f3n\u201d.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/section>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El informe muestra los pros y contras de la propuesta de La Libertad Avanza. Seg\u00fan el banco de inversi\u00f3n, la Argentina no est\u00e1 en condiciones de llevar adelante una reforma monetaria. Los efectos de la dolarizaci\u00f3n seg\u00fan un informe privado de Goldman Sachs. Reuters: Brendan El banco de inversi\u00f3n Goldman Sachs no qued\u00f3 ajeno a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6876,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6875","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-podcast"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>ARGENTINA: Goldman Sachs advierte sobre los peligros de la dolarizaci\u00f3n que plantea Milei - Radio Miami<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/radiomiami.us\/en\/argentina-goldman-sachs-advierte-sobre-los-peligros-de-la-dolarizacion-que-plantea-milei\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ARGENTINA: Goldman Sachs advierte sobre los peligros de la dolarizaci\u00f3n que plantea Milei - Radio Miami\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"El informe muestra los pros y contras de la propuesta de La Libertad Avanza. 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