{"id":6446,"date":"2023-09-10T08:31:51","date_gmt":"2023-09-10T07:31:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/radiomiami.us\/?p=6446"},"modified":"2023-09-10T21:05:01","modified_gmt":"2023-09-10T20:05:01","slug":"eeuu-goldman-sachs-reduce-al-15-las-probabilidades-de-una-recesion-en-ee-uu-en-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/radiomiami.us\/en\/eeuu-goldman-sachs-reduce-al-15-las-probabilidades-de-una-recesion-en-ee-uu-en-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"EEUU – Goldman Sachs reduce al 15% las probabilidades de una recesi\u00f3n en EE.UU. en 2024."},"content":{"rendered":"
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Las probabilidades de una recesi\u00f3n en puerta se redujeron de un 20 a un 15% seg\u00fan los analistas de Goldman Sachs, quienes prev\u00e9n que es poco probable que la Fed flexibilice sus pol\u00edticas monetarias en contra de la inflaci\u00f3n este a\u00f1o.<\/h4>\n
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De acuerdo con un an\u00e1lisis publicado por los economistas de Goldman Sachs las probabilidades de una recesi\u00f3n en Estados Unidos se redujeron el pr\u00f3ximo a\u00f1o al 15%,\u00a0esto afirma que las posibilidades de evitarla son m\u00e1s altas de las que se cre\u00eda anteriormente.<\/h4>\n

 <\/p>\n

Jan Hatzius estratega de Goldman Sachs, especialista en desarrollar el informe mencion\u00f3 que \u201cen primer lugar, parece que el ingreso real disponible se volver\u00e1 a acelerar en 2024 gracias al continuo y s\u00f3lido crecimiento del empleo y al aumento de los salarios reales\u201d, dijo.<\/h4>\n

 <\/p>\n

Para el analista \u201ctodav\u00eda estamos totalmente en desacuerdo con la idea de que un lastre cada vez mayor debido a los \u2018retrasos largos y variables\u2019\u00a0de la pol\u00edtica monetaria empujar\u00e1 a la econom\u00eda hacia la recesi\u00f3n\u201d, destac\u00f3.<\/h4>\n

<\/h4>\n

El \u00faltimo pron\u00f3stico para una recesi\u00f3n en puerta por parte de uno de los grupos de banca de inversi\u00f3n y de valores m\u00e1s grande del mundo fue del 20% que se desarrollar\u00eda en un tiempo de aproximadamente 12 meses,\u00a0esto tomando en cuenta varios aspectos como la inflaci\u00f3n y el mercado laboral.<\/h4>\n

<\/h4>\n

Desde el a\u00f1o pasado, la Reserva Federal ha impulsado una serie de estrategias para llevar la tasa inflacionaria al 2%, pero esas pol\u00edticas monetarias como la subida constante de las tasas de inter\u00e9s a su punto m\u00e1s alto en m\u00e1s de 20 a\u00f1os\u00a0han pesado sobre el mercado laboral que se mantiene resiliente y otros sectores de la econom\u00eda del pa\u00eds.<\/h4>\n

<\/h4>\n

Los economistas sugieren que ya estas medidas de la Fed est\u00e1n finalizando a medida que la tasa de desempleo aumenta y se estanca nuevamente los salarios mientras la inflaci\u00f3n subyacente se modera.<\/h4>\n

<\/h4>\n

En este sentido, Hatzius se\u00f1al\u00f3 que \u201cen t\u00e9rminos netos, nuestra confianza en que la Reserva Federal ha terminado de subir las tasas ha crecido en el \u00faltimo mes.<\/h4>\n

<\/h4>\n

Dicho esto,\u00a0es poco probable que los funcionarios de la Fed avancen r\u00e1pidamente hacia una pol\u00edtica m\u00e1s flexible\u00a0a menos que el crecimiento se desacelere m\u00e1s de lo que pronosticamos en los pr\u00f3ximos trimestres. Por lo tanto, s\u00f3lo esperamos recortes muy graduales\u201d, indic\u00f3.<\/h4>\n

 <\/p>\n

No obstante, la Fed ya se ha adelantado a varios acontecimientos y prev\u00e9 que para finales de este a\u00f1o se eleven dos veces m\u00e1s\u00a0las tasas de inter\u00e9s luego de 11 subidas ubic\u00e1ndolas en el rango actual del 5.50%.<\/h4>\n

 <\/p>\n

Pero, m\u00e1s que una fuerte inflaci\u00f3n, el mercado laboral es el que sorprendentemente se ha mostrado resiliente ante las constante subidas de los tipos de inter\u00e9s, aunque parece que en el \u00faltimo informe mostr\u00f3 signos de debilitamiento, la tasa de desempleo se ubic\u00f3 en su nivel m\u00e1s alto del 3.8%.<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Las probabilidades de una recesi\u00f3n en puerta se redujeron de un 20 a un 15% seg\u00fan los analistas de Goldman Sachs, quienes prev\u00e9n que es poco probable que la Fed flexibilice sus pol\u00edticas monetarias en contra de la inflaci\u00f3n este a\u00f1o. De acuerdo con un an\u00e1lisis publicado por los economistas de Goldman Sachs las probabilidades […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6447,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6446","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-podcast"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nEEUU - Goldman Sachs reduce al 15% las probabilidades de una recesi\u00f3n en EE.UU. en 2024. - Radio Miami<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/radiomiami.us\/en\/eeuu-goldman-sachs-reduce-al-15-las-probabilidades-de-una-recesion-en-ee-uu-en-2024\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"EEUU - Goldman Sachs reduce al 15% las probabilidades de una recesi\u00f3n en EE.UU. en 2024. - Radio Miami\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Las probabilidades de una recesi\u00f3n en puerta se redujeron de un 20 a un 15% seg\u00fan los analistas de Goldman Sachs, quienes prev\u00e9n que es poco probable que la Fed flexibilice sus pol\u00edticas monetarias en contra de la inflaci\u00f3n este a\u00f1o. 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Goldman Sachs reduce al 15% las probabilidades de una recesi\u00f3n en EE.UU. en 2024. - Radio Miami","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/radiomiami.us\/en\/eeuu-goldman-sachs-reduce-al-15-las-probabilidades-de-una-recesion-en-ee-uu-en-2024\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"EEUU - Goldman Sachs reduce al 15% las probabilidades de una recesi\u00f3n en EE.UU. en 2024. - Radio Miami","og_description":"Las probabilidades de una recesi\u00f3n en puerta se redujeron de un 20 a un 15% seg\u00fan los analistas de Goldman Sachs, quienes prev\u00e9n que es poco probable que la Fed flexibilice sus pol\u00edticas monetarias en contra de la inflaci\u00f3n este a\u00f1o. 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