{"id":4760,"date":"2023-03-23T08:11:28","date_gmt":"2023-03-23T07:11:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/radiomiami.us\/?p=4760"},"modified":"2023-03-23T18:19:29","modified_gmt":"2023-03-23T17:19:29","slug":"argentina-el-mercado-considera-que-el-nuevo-canje-de-bonos-carece-de-sentido","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/radiomiami.us\/en\/argentina-el-mercado-considera-que-el-nuevo-canje-de-bonos-carece-de-sentido\/","title":{"rendered":"ARGENTINA: El mercado considera que el nuevo canje de bonos carece de sentido"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Los especialistas del mercado local no creen que los d\u00f3lares y la inflaci\u00f3n bajen en el mediano plazo con las nuevas medidas que obliga a los organismos p\u00fablicos a canjear sus bonos.<\/h6>\n<\/div>\n
Apartir de este jueves 23 de marzo,\u00a0qued\u00f3 oficialmente habilitado el canje<\/a>\u00a0que\u00a0obliga a los organismos p\u00fablicos a cambiar sus bonos en d\u00f3lares con ley extranjera por t\u00edtulos bajo ley local\u00a0por alrededor de US$ 4.000 millones.<\/strong><\/p>\n

De acuerdo al Decreto de Necesidad y Urgencia (DNU),\u00a0el objetivo es absorber el exceso de pesos circulante y contener la presi\u00f3n sobre la brecha cambiaria del d\u00f3lar, lo que, en teor\u00eda, permitir\u00eda controlar la inflaci\u00f3n.<\/strong><\/p>\n

A pesar de las intenciones del Gobierno con las nuevas medidas,\u00a0los especialistas del mercado local consideran que la situaci\u00f3n macroecon\u00f3mica no mejorar\u00e1 en el mediano plazo si no se realizan profundos cambios estructurales.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"Billetes
El Gobierno lanz\u00f3 nuevas medidas para contener al d\u00f3lar.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Para el especialista en finanzas\u00a0Abel Cuchietti, las nuevas reglas son\u00a0\u201cun manotazo de ahogado\u201d<\/i>, ya que, desde lo econ\u00f3mico,\u00a0el Estado no tiene reservas, visualiza un mal a\u00f1o por la sequ\u00eda, es una \u00e9poca electoral y cuenta con inflaci\u00f3n y d\u00e9ficit.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cEn un a\u00f1o electoral, todo el mercado se est\u00e1 queriendo dolarizar, y m\u00e1s con una inflaci\u00f3n galopante\u201d<\/i>, relat\u00f3 Cuchietti, quien indic\u00f3 que\u00a0\u201cse van a fundir las cajas de todos los entes p\u00fablicos que tienen bonos\u201d\u00a0<\/i>porque los van a malvender.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Seg\u00fan su an\u00e1lisis, no tiene sentido que a los organismos les saquen bonos en d\u00f3lares que, en un futuro, pueden valer\u00a0\u201ccasi tres veces m\u00e1s\u201d\u00a0<\/i>para darles\u00a0t\u00edtulos en pesos que se deval\u00faan.<\/strong><\/p>\n

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\"Sergio
Sergio Massa sigue tratando de controlar la econom\u00eda.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\u201cSi vos sal\u00eds a vender en d\u00f3lares un bono y lo hac\u00e9s bajar de precio por oferta, y nadie te cree y el tipo de cambio no baja, en pesos baja la cotizaci\u00f3n, entonces no corregiste el tipo de cambio porque esas cosas dependen del riesgo pa\u00eds, de no tener d\u00e9ficit, de no emitir, de ser pol\u00edticamente correcto, de no regalar la plata, de miles de variables que no corrigen y los pol\u00edticos no quieren hacer\u201d<\/i>, asever\u00f3 el analista y asesor.<\/strong><\/p>\n

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El Merval baj\u00f3 1,69% y las ADRs de firmas argentinas en Nueva York retrocedieron hasta 5,2%<\/a><\/strong><\/h6>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

Por su parte,\u00a0Joaqu\u00edn Arregui, fundador de la consultora financiera Extensio, declar\u00f3 que las nuevas medidas podr\u00edan tener cierto efecto a corto plazo,\u00a0\u201cpero es poco probable que tengan un impacto significativo en el mediano plazo en el mercado del d\u00f3lar MEP y d\u00f3lar CCL\u201d<\/i>.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cEn cuanto a la especulaci\u00f3n de devaluaci\u00f3n del d\u00f3lar mayorista o d\u00f3lar de la COM 3500 del BCRA, no creo que las medidas sean una maniobra previa para amortiguar el cambio porcentual de deuda\u201d<\/i>, sostuvo.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"Billetes
El d\u00f3lar seguir\u00e1 su rumbo alcista mientras no se resuelvan cuestiones macroecon\u00f3micas profundas.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Y a\u00f1adi\u00f3:\u00a0\u201cAnalizando los n\u00fameros, el 67% de la deuda total del pa\u00eds es en moneda extranjera, por lo que, si obligan a los organismos p\u00fablicos a vender sus tenencias en d\u00f3lares, esto podr\u00eda reducir la deuda extranjera en un 8,5% para pasar a ser de un 58,5%, lo cual a\u00fan seguir\u00eda siendo un n\u00famero significativo\u201d<\/i>.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cCreo que estas medidas son m\u00e1s que nada para intentar financiar al tesoro por esta v\u00eda, ya que podr\u00eda generar inter\u00e9s en los inversores al pensar que este cambio podr\u00eda hacer subir el valor de estos activos\u201d<\/i>, detall\u00f3 Arregui.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Los especialistas del mercado local no creen que los d\u00f3lares y la inflaci\u00f3n bajen en el mediano plazo con las nuevas medidas que obliga a los organismos p\u00fablicos a canjear sus bonos. Apartir de este jueves 23 de marzo,\u00a0qued\u00f3 oficialmente habilitado el canje\u00a0que\u00a0obliga a los organismos p\u00fablicos a cambiar sus bonos en d\u00f3lares con ley […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4761,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4760","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-podcast"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nARGENTINA: El mercado considera que el nuevo canje de bonos carece de sentido - Radio Miami<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/radiomiami.us\/en\/argentina-el-mercado-considera-que-el-nuevo-canje-de-bonos-carece-de-sentido\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ARGENTINA: El mercado considera que el nuevo canje de bonos carece de sentido - Radio Miami\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Los especialistas del mercado local no creen que los d\u00f3lares y la inflaci\u00f3n bajen en el mediano plazo con las nuevas medidas que obliga a los organismos p\u00fablicos a canjear sus bonos. 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