{"id":13626,"date":"2026-03-06T12:39:25","date_gmt":"2026-03-06T15:39:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/radiomiami.us\/?p=13626"},"modified":"2026-03-06T23:38:37","modified_gmt":"2026-03-07T02:38:37","slug":"enrique-guillermo-avogadro-dudas-justificadas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/radiomiami.us\/en\/enrique-guillermo-avogadro-dudas-justificadas\/","title":{"rendered":"Enrique Guillermo Avogadro. Dudas Justificadas"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u00a0<\/span>Dudas Justificadas<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cEn todas las guerras, la primera v\u00edctima es siempre la verdad\u201d.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0Esquilo<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Decir que todos estamos consternados por la guerra de Israel y EEUU contra Ir\u00e1n es tan superfluo como preguntar si, en la medida en que ya hay quince pa\u00edses comprometidos en ella, no estamos ante una nueva conflagraci\u00f3n mundial de totalmente incierto pron\u00f3stico. Est\u00e1 claro, a esta altura, que la estrategia de los ayatollahs (persas chi\u00edtas) de responder atacando a todos sus vecinos (\u00e1rabes sunitas) tiene l\u00f3gica, al menos como forma de presionar al mundo para que la ofensiva en su contra se detenga.<\/p>\n

Porque lo cierto es que los pa\u00edses del Golfo (Arabia Saudita, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrein, Emiratos Arabes Unidos) dependen totalmente del agua potable que producen en plantas de desalinizaci\u00f3n y del 80% de su consumo de alimentos, que importan a trav\u00e9s del estrecho de Ormuz, el mismo paso por el cual env\u00edan su petr\u00f3leo y gas a China (el 20% de su consumo), India, Jap\u00f3n y Europa. Adem\u00e1s de los ataques a esas infraestructuras vitales, la reciente conversi\u00f3n de muchas de sus ciudades (en especial, Dubai y Abu Dhabi) en n\u00facleos financieros internacionales seguros hoy est\u00e1 en alto riesgo por los misiles iran\u00e9s que llueven ininterrumpidamente.<\/p>\n

Las dudas que se generan est\u00e1n casi todas vinculadas a los m\u00faltiples objetivos, muchos de ellos contradictorios, que declama Washington para explicar esta guerra: el peligroso programa nuclear iran\u00ed (\u00bffue tan exitoso el bombardeo de 2025 sobre sus instalaciones como se anunci\u00f3?), la criminal represi\u00f3n \u2013 con 25.000 v\u00edctimas, entre muertos y heridos – de las protestas civiles, el desplazamiento de los ayatollahs del Gobierno, la interrupci\u00f3n definitiva del sost\u00e9n a organizaciones terroristas como Ham\u00e1s, Hezbollah y las milicias hut\u00edes de Yemen, y la determinaci\u00f3n de destruir a Israel, fuerte aliado de los EEUU. Tampoco el futuro propuesto ofrece certezas, pues la vocaci\u00f3n por decapitar al sistema sin ocupaci\u00f3n, como en Venezuela, no parece ser factible en el caso, ya que ahora enfrentan a fan\u00e1ticos suicidas.<\/h6>\n
<\/h6>\n
Esas dudas son razonables porque, por ejemplo, el exitoso operativo que concluy\u00f3 con la muerte de Al\u00ed Khamenei y de los grandes popes de las fuerzas armadas y de la Guardia Revolucionaria en Teheran parece haber tenido, entre la poblaci\u00f3n civil, exactamente el efecto contrario al buscado, toda vez que ha vulcanizado el apoyo al r\u00e9gimen. No hay que olvidar que el cl\u00e9rigo en cuesti\u00f3n, convertido en m\u00e1rtir por la bomba, era el equivalente al Papa cat\u00f3lico para los 200 millones de chi\u00edtas del mundo.<\/h6>\n
<\/h6>\n
La Casa Blanca y el Pent\u00e1gono, a la luz de las doloros\u00edsimas experiencias de Irak, Afganist\u00e1n y Vietnam, est\u00e1n ante un duro dilema para cumplir sus objetivos: ocupar con tropas (1 a 2 millones de soldados) el territorio o, con la colaboraci\u00f3n de milicias (como los kurdos), provocar una guerra civil, al igual que las del L\u00edbano y Libia, que culminaron en Estados fallidos. Y el primer escenario est\u00e1 condicionado por la opini\u00f3n p\u00fablica estadounidense, convocada a las elecciones de medio t\u00e9rmino, que se celebrar\u00e1n (si Trump, que hoy tiene mayor\u00eda en ambas c\u00e1maras, no cambia el calendario y sus reglas) el 3 de noviembre, y\u00a0 en las cuales se renovar\u00e1n los 435 representantes (diputados) y 34 senadores, sobre los 100 actuales, m\u00e1s varios gobernadores estaduales; el regreso de las t\u00e9tricas bolsas negras puede resultar tambi\u00e9n letal para el Presidente.<\/h6>\n
<\/h6>\n
La geograf\u00eda tambi\u00e9n influye en esta guerra: mientras Ir\u00e1n tiene, ante el Golfo, una cadena monta\u00f1osa susceptible de albergar dep\u00f3sitos secretos de misiles y drones, los Estados vecinos s\u00f3lo tienen desiertos de arena, apenas interrumpidos por instalaciones petroleras y acu\u00edferas, altas ciudades y bases militares, es decir, resultan sumamente vulnerables a los ataques iran\u00edes. Y nadie (salvo los propios ayatollahs) sabe, a pesar de las declaraciones triunfalistas de Washington y Tel Aviv, \u00a0cu\u00e1ntas armas a\u00fan tiene disponibles el r\u00e9gimen terrorista. Una inquietud m\u00e1s se refiere a por qu\u00e9 Benjamin Netanyahu, Primer Ministro de Israel, tiene tal influencia sobre Trump como para haberlo empujado a tantas aventuras b\u00e9licas.<\/h6>\n
<\/h6>\n
Lo \u00fanico tranquilizador en este dantesco panorama es la actitud de Vladimir Putin y de Xi Jinping, que han limitado su apoyo a sus aliados persas a meras declaraciones ret\u00f3ricas, imitando la que asumieran ante la detenci\u00f3n de Nicol\u00e1s Maduro y la complicada situaci\u00f3n de Cuba; el primero, porque su propia guerra contra Ucrania lo tiene tan ocupado que le impide actuar en otras latitudes; y el segundo, por la milenaria tradici\u00f3n china de optar por la diplomacia comercial y de inversiones, que ha hecho que nunca invadiera militarmente a sus vecinos.<\/h6>\n
<\/h6>\n
Pero es hora de volver a la Argentina y centrar nuestras dudas, no en el reemplazo de Mariano C\u00faneo Libarona por Juan Bautista Mahiques como Ministro de Justicia, sino en la inmediata renuncia que \u00e9ste pidi\u00f3 de Daniel V\u00edtolo a la jefatura de la Inspecci\u00f3n General de Justicia, un hombre que ten\u00eda notoriamente a mal traer a Claudio\u00a0Chiqui\u00a0<\/em>Tapia, Pablo Toviggino, sus c\u00f3mplices y testaferros en los robos cometidos desde la AFA. La celeridad del despido, y la amistad que une al nuevo funcionario y su familia con los denunciados, da mucho que pensar y ser\u00eda bueno que el Gobierno despejara con igual velocidad tales negros nubarrones.<\/h6>\n
<\/h6>\n
Aunque, contemplando la sospechosa inactividad \u2013 casi un poderoso manto de impunidad – con que Javier Milei y su entorno parecen proteger a Sergio\u00a0Aceitoso\u00a0<\/em>Massa, el tenebroso personaje al que conducen todos los caminos de ese nauseabundo episodio y de otros mucho m\u00e1s graves, parece ilusorio esperar prontos resultados.<\/h6>\n

\u00a0Bs.As., 7 Mar 26<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u00a0Dudas Justificadas \u201cEn todas las guerras, la primera v\u00edctima es siempre la verdad\u201d. \u00a0Esquilo Decir que todos estamos consternados por la guerra de Israel y EEUU contra Ir\u00e1n es tan superfluo como preguntar si, en la medida en que ya hay quince pa\u00edses comprometidos en ella, no estamos ante una nueva conflagraci\u00f3n mundial de totalmente […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":342,"featured_media":13561,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[1602,1648,882,687,534,682,541],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13626","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-afa-asoc-del-futbol-argentino","category-benjamin-netanyahu","category-enrique-g-avogadro","category-iran","category-israel","category-vladimir-putin","category-xi-jinping-china"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nEnrique Guillermo Avogadro. 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