{"id":11078,"date":"2025-01-09T14:46:36","date_gmt":"2025-01-09T17:46:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/radiomiami.us\/?p=11078"},"modified":"2025-01-12T21:01:44","modified_gmt":"2025-01-13T00:01:44","slug":"el-fmi-le-pide-a-caputo-que-unifique-el-dolar-en-1300-pesos-y-libere-el-cepo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/radiomiami.us\/en\/el-fmi-le-pide-a-caputo-que-unifique-el-dolar-en-1300-pesos-y-libere-el-cepo\/","title":{"rendered":"El FMI le pide a Caputo que unifique el d\u00f3lar en 1300 pesos y libere el cepo"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"nota-header\">\n<h6 id=\"title-news\" class=\"title\"><span style=\"font-size: 17.6px;\">La medida implica una devaluaci\u00f3n del 20 por ciento. Los t\u00e9cnicos del organismo afirman que el traslado a precios ser\u00eda m\u00ednimo.<\/span><\/h6>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"zleft z75\">\n<div id=\"vplfgp_gallery1\" class=\"gallery\">\n<div class=\"g_controls\">\n<div class=\"image\">\n<picture><source id=\"imgv97468v113\" srcset=\"\/files\/image\/242\/242991\/6755c38e49d80-screen-and-max-width480px_880_880!.jpg?s=c32e452b406a989026f7658b5340cd21&amp;d=1733676431\" media=\"screen and (max-width:480px)\" \/><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" id=\"vplfgi_gallery1\" src=\"https:\/\/www.lapoliticaonline.com\/files\/image\/242\/242991\/6755c38e49d80_940_529!.jpg?s=a1d0b34dc04d57ed86bd9139649a2696&amp;d=1733676419\" alt=\"El FMI le pide a Caputo que unifique el d\u00f3lar en 1300 pesos y libere el cepo\" width=\"940\" height=\"529\" \/><\/picture>\n<div class=\"zoom\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"media-footer\">\n<div id=\"vplfgc_gallery1\" class=\"caption\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"g_source_author\"><span id=\"vplfgs_gallery1\" class=\"source g_source\">AP<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"vsmcontent\" class=\"body vsmcontent\">\n<h6>Los t\u00e9cnicos del FMI mantienen su posici\u00f3n sobre la macroeconom\u00eda argentina: es necesario unificar el valor del d\u00f3lar y liberar el cepo.<\/h6>\n<h6><\/h6>\n<h6>El organismo cuestiona el actual esquema monetario de tipo de cambio fijo, que implica quemar reservas para sostenerlo no es un secreto.<\/h6>\n<h6><\/h6>\n<h6>De hecho, las declaraciones de Javier Milei sobre los USD 5.000 millones disponibles para contener el precio del d\u00f3lar provocaron un gran malestar en el Fondo.<\/h6>\n<div id=\"vplnewsletterv95995v3\" class=\"piece newsletter standard align-left bkg-image\">\n<div class=\"piecefooter\">\n<div class=\"piecefooterimage\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h6>En el FMI valoran y mucho el equilibrio fiscal que alcanz\u00f3 Milei en apenas un a\u00f1o, pero no hay que olvidar que lo que miran los acreedores son las reservas. Esos d\u00f3lares son la \u00fanica garant\u00eda de pago que tienen los que prestaron d\u00f3lares, como el Fondo.<\/h6>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h6>Seg\u00fan la contabilizaci\u00f3n que hacen desde el FMI, las reservas se encuentran en terreno negativo en la zona de los USD 11.000 millones, o sea en el mismo nivel que las dej\u00f3 Massa (ver cuadro).<\/h6>\n<h6><\/h6>\n<h6>Por eso, el FMI pide una unificaci\u00f3n cambiaria que termine con el d\u00f3lar blend -otra herencia de Massa- que le cost\u00f3 al Gobierno unos USD 18.000 millones.<\/h6>\n<h6><\/h6>\n<h6>Tambi\u00e9n exigen que se terminen las intervenciones para mantener pisado el d\u00f3lar.<\/h6>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"body vsmcontent\">\n<h6>Una situaci\u00f3n delicada que se confirm\u00f3 este jueves cuando las reservas cayeron USD 2.000 millones por el pago de USD 4.400 millones a acreedores, pese a que Milei y Caputo ven\u00edan sacando pecho que esos fondos ya estaban en manos del Tesoro.<\/h6>\n<h6><\/h6>\n<h6>Si esto es as\u00ed no se entiende porque caen las reservas.<\/h6>\n<h6><\/h6>\n<h6>Otra se\u00f1al de la delicada situaci\u00f3n:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.lapoliticaonline.com\/tools\/redirect.php?t=3&amp;i=307097&amp;s=c2e98db9bedbfa09eedfdf30edd209e7\">el pr\u00e9stamo Repo<\/a>\u00a0por USD 1.000 millones que el Banco Central tuvo que apurar la semana pasada.<\/h6>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h6>Para eso proponen unificar el tipo de cambio en\u00a0$1300 por d\u00f3lar.<\/h6>\n<h6><\/h6>\n<h6>La cifra surge de los an\u00e1lisis econom\u00e9tricos del FMI plasmados en un paper entregado al equipo econ\u00f3mico.<\/h6>\n<h6><\/h6>\n<h6>En esos mismos c\u00e1lculos, los t\u00e9cnicos del Fondo afirman que el traslado a precios de esa devaluaci\u00f3n, que estar\u00eda en el orden del 20%, ser\u00eda imperceptible: apenas del 0.4%.<\/h6>\n<h6><\/h6>\n<h6>No es lo que piensan Caputo y Milei que temen un regreso de espiralizaci\u00f3n inflacionaria si deval\u00faa, que les arrunien el buen momento actual.<\/h6>\n<h6><\/h6>\n<h6 class=\"authorquote\">Los t\u00e9cnicos del FMI proponen al Gobierno unificar el tipo de cambio en $1300 por d\u00f3lar.<\/h6>\n<h6><\/h6>\n<h6 class=\"authorquote\">La cifra surge de los an\u00e1lisis econom\u00e9tricos del organismo plasmados en un paper entregado al equipo econ\u00f3mico.<\/h6>\n<h6 class=\"authorquote\"><\/h6>\n<h6>Ah\u00ed radica la resistencia de Javier Milei.<\/h6>\n<h6><\/h6>\n<h6>El Presidente, sin reconocerlo p\u00fablicamente, entiende que el d\u00f3lar barato funciona como ancla cambiaria. \u00abSon las riendas cortitas con las que sujeta los precios\u00bb, argument\u00f3 un funcionario del \u00e1rea econ\u00f3mica.<\/h6>\n<h6><\/h6>\n<h6>\u00abMilei afirma que el tipo de cambio real de equilibrio estar\u00eda en $ 752,\u00a0 el D\u00f3lar Mep pas\u00f3 desde los $ 1.050 el 8 de diciembre a los $ 1.168 del 9 de enero.<\/h6>\n<h6><\/h6>\n<h6>\u00bfDe donde saca el Presidente ese precio de tipo de cambio de equilibrio?\u00bb, se pregunt\u00f3 un economista de buen di\u00e1logo con el FMI.<\/h6>\n<h6><\/h6>\n<h6>Y agreg\u00f3: \u00abMilei no va a reconocer que el d\u00f3lar est\u00e1 atrasado porque se le cae la explicaci\u00f3n de que la inflaci\u00f3n es siempre y exclusivamente un fen\u00f3meno monetario\u00bb.<\/h6>\n<figure class=\"vsmimage\" contenteditable=\"false\"><img decoding=\"async\" id=\"vsmv97468v77\" src=\"https:\/\/www.lapoliticaonline.com\/files\/image\/244\/244647\/677f5aead436f_798_526!.jpg?s=dc2b2dd48415873bf8695a5e00f87918&amp;d=1736460996\" alt=\"El FMI le pide a Caputo que unifique el d\u00f3lar en 1300 pesos y libere el cepo\" width=\"798\" height=\"526\" data-vsmid=\"244647\" data-owidth=\"5000\" data-oheight=\"3333\" data-index=\"0\" \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"media-footer gallery\">\n<div class=\"g_source_author\"><span class=\"source g_source\">AP<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<h6><\/h6>\n<h6>Lo interesante es que en la misma l\u00ednea que los t\u00e9cnicos del FMI se pronunciaron los ex ministros de econom\u00eda Domingo Cavallo y Nicolas Dujovne.<\/h6>\n<h6><\/h6>\n<h6>Ambos coinciden en que una correcci\u00f3n cambiaria no derivar\u00e1 en una espiralizar\u00edan inflacionaria, precisamente porque estamos en un esquema de equilibrio fiscal y emisi\u00f3n controlada.<\/h6>\n<h6><\/h6>\n<h6>\u00abNo hay pesos para convalidar una espiralizac\u00edon porque la demanda de pesos se est\u00e1 recuperando y entonces, eventualmente, en el momento de salir, el tipo de cambio se mueve un poco, pero es un movimiento transitorio en el nivel de precios\u00bb, dijo Nicol\u00e1s Dujovne<\/h6>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h6 class=\"authorquote\" title=\"Marina dal Pogetto\">El tipo de cambio se est\u00e1 acercando al de los niveles de la convertibilidad, hay un problema, pero al gobierno no le gusta que se le diga atraso cambiario.<\/h6>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h6>Cavallo puso el \u00e9nfasis en el atraso cambiario y\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.lapoliticaonline.com\/tools\/redirect.php?t=3&amp;i=307345&amp;s=035e320ab65a9640db3edfbde76b5953\">enfureci\u00f3 al Presidente<\/a>.<\/h6>\n<h6><\/h6>\n<h6>El ex ministro dijo que \u00abexiste una apreciaci\u00f3n real exagerada del Peso de alrededor del 20%\u00bb. El mismo porcentaje que pide el FMI.<\/h6>\n<h6><\/h6>\n<h6>\u00abMe parece una verg\u00fcenza la declaraci\u00f3n de Cavallo y me sorprende para mal su juicio tan ligero y tan mal fundamentado t\u00e9cnicamente para hacer un disparo de estas caracter\u00edsticas\u00bb, se defendi\u00f3 Milei.<\/h6>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h6>Pero m\u00e1s all\u00e1 del enojo del Presidente, la mayor\u00eda de los economistas respetados, coinciden con Cavallo.<\/h6>\n<h6><\/h6>\n<h6>Por ejemplo, Marina Dal Poggetto afirm\u00f3 que \u00abel tipo de cambio se est\u00e1 acercando al de los niveles de la convertibilidad, hay un problema, pero al gobierno no le gusta que se le diga atraso cambiario<b>\u00ab<\/b>.<\/h6>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h6>\u00abSe atrasa el tipo de cambio y est\u00e1s manteniendo la brecha volcando muchos d\u00f3lares al mercado y no los est\u00e1 comprando el Banco Central.<\/h6>\n<h6><\/h6>\n<h6>Las reservas netas siguen siendo negativas\u00bb, agreg\u00f3 la<\/h6>\n<h6>Marina Dal Poggetto, due\u00f1a de EcoGo.<\/h6>\n<h6><\/h6>\n<figure class=\"vsmimage\" contenteditable=\"false\"><img decoding=\"async\" id=\"vsmv97468v78\" contenteditable=\"false\" src=\"https:\/\/www.lapoliticaonline.com\/files\/image\/244\/244139\/676dc6c1d2a4a.jpg\" alt=\"La composici\u00f3n de reservas termin\u00f3 el primer a\u00f1o en el mismo nivel que al final de la gesti\u00f3n Massa.\" width=\"551\" height=\"313\" data-vsmid=\"244139\" data-owidth=\"551\" data-oheight=\"313\" data-index=\"1\" \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"media-footer gallery\">\n<div class=\"caption\">La composici\u00f3n de reservas termin\u00f3 el primer a\u00f1o en el mismo nivel que al final de la gesti\u00f3n Massa.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<h6><\/h6>\n<h6>En este debate incluso se sum\u00f3 el ex viceministro Gabriel Rubinstein, que lanz\u00f3 una propuesta mucho m\u00e1s jugada\u00a0de flotaci\u00f3n administrada.<\/h6>\n<h6><\/h6>\n<h6>\u00abEl d\u00f3lar tiene un techo de $ 2.000, valor a partir del cual el BCRA deber\u00eda intervenir\u00bb, afirm\u00f3.<\/h6>\n<h6><\/h6>\n<h6>Pero claro, la propuesta del Fondo no es pasar del actual valor de tipo de cambio semi fijo de $1.100 a uno de $1.300 igual de fijo. Lo que propone el organismo es unificar, liberar y flotar.<\/h6>\n<h6><\/h6>\n<h6>Por eso, un importante economista que sigue las negociaciones explic\u00f3 :<\/h6>\n<h6><\/h6>\n<h6>\u00abAl considerar el peor escenario, con una eventual migraci\u00f3n masiva de pesos a d\u00f3lares en el orden de unos USD 50.000 millones y una asistencia de m\u00e1xima del FMI, inversores privados y hasta el Tesoro, que totalice USD 30.000 millones, sigue abierta la pregunta sobre una nueva exigencia devaluatoria.<\/h6>\n<h6><\/h6>\n<h6>O dicho de otro modo, ?<\/h6>\n<h6><\/h6>\n<h6>El FMI est\u00e1 dispuesto a aportar USD 20.000 millones para que otra vez el BCRA los reviente a $ 1.300?\u00bb<\/h6>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La medida implica una devaluaci\u00f3n del 20 por ciento. Los t\u00e9cnicos del organismo afirman que el traslado a precios ser\u00eda m\u00ednimo. AP Los t\u00e9cnicos del FMI mantienen su posici\u00f3n sobre la macroeconom\u00eda argentina: es necesario unificar el valor del d\u00f3lar y liberar el cepo. El organismo cuestiona el actual esquema monetario de tipo de cambio [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":342,"featured_media":10694,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[488,551,510],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11078","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-argentina","category-fmi","category-javier-milei"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>El FMI le pide a Caputo que unifique el d\u00f3lar en 1300 pesos y libere el cepo - Radio Miami<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/radiomiami.us\/en\/el-fmi-le-pide-a-caputo-que-unifique-el-dolar-en-1300-pesos-y-libere-el-cepo\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"El FMI le pide a Caputo que unifique el d\u00f3lar en 1300 pesos y libere el cepo - Radio Miami\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"La medida implica una devaluaci\u00f3n del 20 por ciento. Los t\u00e9cnicos del organismo afirman que el traslado a precios ser\u00eda m\u00ednimo. AP Los t\u00e9cnicos del FMI mantienen su posici\u00f3n sobre la macroeconom\u00eda argentina: es necesario unificar el valor del d\u00f3lar y liberar el cepo. 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