{"id":11026,"date":"2025-01-07T12:55:20","date_gmt":"2025-01-07T15:55:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/radiomiami.us\/?p=11026"},"modified":"2025-01-07T12:55:20","modified_gmt":"2025-01-07T15:55:20","slug":"venezuela-donald-trump-entre-mano-dura-y-pragmatismo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/radiomiami.us\/en\/venezuela-donald-trump-entre-mano-dura-y-pragmatismo\/","title":{"rendered":"Venezuela : Donald Trump entre mano dura y pragmatismo"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
<\/h6>\n
\u00bfQu\u00e9 impacto tendr\u00e1 la toma de posesi\u00f3n del pr\u00f3ximo presidente estadounidense, Donald Trump, en la delicada situaci\u00f3n pol\u00edtica en Venezuela?<\/h6>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/header>\n

Durante su primer mandato, Trump intent\u00f3 presionar a Maduro al m\u00e1ximo y fracas\u00f3.<\/h6>\n
\n
<\/h6>\n
Para los venezolanos dentro y fuera del pa\u00eds ha comenzado una cuenta regresiva hasta el diez de enero de 2025, cuando tendr\u00e1 lugar la juramentaci\u00f3n del presidente que dictar\u00e1 el rumbo del pa\u00eds en los pr\u00f3ximos seis a\u00f1os.<\/h6>\n

 <\/p>\n

Si bien la fecha se conoce desde hace meses, una interrogante mayor tensa la cita oficial: \u00bfqui\u00e9n asumir\u00e1 finalmente el poder en Caracas?<\/h6>\n
<\/h6>\n
\u00bfEl actual presidente Nicol\u00e1s Maduro, vencedor oficial de las controvertidas elecciones, o\u00a0Edmundo Gonz\u00e1lez Urrutia<\/a>, considerado presidente electo\u00a0\u00ableg\u00edtimo\u00bb\u00a0por la oposici\u00f3n venezolana, Estados Unidos y varios pa\u00edses latinoamericanos?<\/h6>\n

 <\/p>\n

Ambos\u00a0han prometido tomar posesi\u00f3n como mandatarios.<\/h6>\n
<\/h6>\n
A esta delicada situaci\u00f3n se sumar\u00e1, en enero, otro factor pol\u00edtico de peso: la investidura del presidente electo estadounidense,\u00a0Donald Trump<\/a>, el d\u00eda 20.<\/h6>\n<\/div>\n
\n
Laura Cristina Dib, directora del Programa para\u00a0Venezuela<\/a>\u00a0de la organizaci\u00f3n de derechos humanos estadounidense WOLA, destaca la incertidumbre en torno a la postura que Donald Trump adoptar\u00e1 frente a Caracas.<\/h6>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u00abSe ha referido a Venezuela como una dictadura, pero no ha habido mayor an\u00e1lisis ni pronunciamientos en torno a la jornada electoral del 28 de julio y la toma de posesi\u00f3n del diez de enero.<\/h6>\n
<\/h6>\n
En ese sentido, el silencio tambi\u00e9n dice mucho, porque Trump podr\u00eda estar dejando la puerta abierta para una aproximaci\u00f3n que le permita llegar a acuerdos con Maduro, ileg\u00edtimamente en el poder\u00bb, dice Dib a DW.<\/h6>\n

 <\/p>\n

Asimismo, la experta de WOLA recuerda que, tras la victoria electoral del republicano,\u00a0Maduro lo felicit\u00f3 p\u00fablicamente<\/a>\u00a0y habl\u00f3 de un nuevo comienzo para las relaciones entre\u00a0Estados Unidos<\/a>\u00a0y Venezuela.<\/h6>\n

 <\/p>\n

\n
\n
\"Edmundo<\/div>\n<\/div>
Edmundo Gonz\u00e1lez Urrutia vive en el exilio, pero prometi\u00f3 juramentarse como presidente de Venezuela este 10 de enero.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n
<\/h6>\n
Errores del pasado<\/h6>\n
<\/h6>\n
Durante su primer mandato (2017-2021), \u00abDonald Trump se dej\u00f3 convencer de que tumbar a Maduro a trav\u00e9s\u00a0de la llamada ‘m\u00e1xima presi\u00f3n’\u00a0era una tarea f\u00e1cil\u00a0que le dar\u00eda una victoria r\u00e1pida en pol\u00edtica exterior.<\/h6>\n
<\/h6>\n
Pero no fue as\u00ed, y no creo que vaya a invertir mucha energ\u00eda\u00a0en un intento parecido esta vez\u00bb, observa, por su parte, Phillip Gunson, analista s\u00e9nior del\u00a0International Crisis Group<\/em>\u00a0para la regi\u00f3n andina.<\/h6>\n
<\/h6>\n
No obstante, prosigue, \u00abel nombramiento de\u00a0Marco Rubio<\/a>\u00a0como secretario de Estado apunta en la direcci\u00f3n contraria, puesto que es enemigo declarado de Maduro y un exponente de la l\u00ednea dura\u00bb.<\/h6>\n
<\/h6>\n
De ah\u00ed que Gunson crea que, al menos en los primeros meses, Washington endurecer\u00e1 su pol\u00edtica hacia Maduro.<\/h6>\n
<\/h6>\n
\u00abSin embargo, hay otros miembros del equipo de pol\u00edtica exterior que son m\u00e1s proclives a un entendimiento con Caracas basado en migraci\u00f3n y petr\u00f3leo, no en democracia y derechos humanos.<\/h6>\n
<\/h6>\n
A la larga, pienso que -si el gobierno de Maduro sigue resistiendo a la presi\u00f3n internacional- Trump optar\u00e1 por un arreglo transaccional en vez de insistir en sacarlo del poder\u00bb, apunta el especialista en Venezuela del International Crisis Group, en entrevista con DW.<\/h6>\n
<\/div>\n
Mano dura y pragmatismo<\/h6>\n

 <\/p>\n

A juicio del Dr. Francisco Monaldi, director del\u00a0Programa Latinoamericano de Energ\u00eda\u00a0del Instituto\u00a0Baker de la Universidad de Rice, la futura postura de Washington con respecto a Caracas\u00a0\u00abdepende, en parte, de lo que pase en Venezuela en los pr\u00f3ximos d\u00edas.<\/h6>\n
<\/h6>\n
Si hay mayor represi\u00f3n, si meten presos a l\u00edderes de la oposici\u00f3n, si hay violencia, todo eso puede hacer mucho m\u00e1s plausible que Estados Unidos tome una posici\u00f3n m\u00e1s agresiva contra Maduro\u00bb.<\/h6>\n
<\/h6>\n
Si bien el polit\u00f3logo Monaldi duda que el pr\u00f3ximo presidente estadounidense reconozca a Maduro como su hom\u00f3logo, tampoco descarta por completo que, en un futuro, Washington adopte una postura m\u00e1s pragm\u00e1tica respecto al l\u00edder chavista.<\/h6>\n
<\/h6>\n
El nombramiento de Richard Grenell como enviado especial para Venezuela apunta, por ejemplo, en esa direcci\u00f3n, ya que \u00e9ste\u00a0es conocido por su postura transaccional,\u00a0se\u00f1ala el acad\u00e9mico en entrevista con DW.<\/h6>\n
<\/h6>\n
Monaldi tampoco cree que \u00abla Administraci\u00f3n Trump tenga apetito para copiar el modelo de lo que pas\u00f3 con el Gobierno interino del l\u00edder opositor Juan Guaid\u00f3, es decir, que haya una especie de gobierno paralelo en el exilio. Se van a cuidar de no repetir ese modelo, Trump claramente ha dicho que eso fue un error\u00bb.<\/h6>\n

 <\/p>\n

Acceso al petr\u00f3leo<\/h6>\n

 <\/p>\n

Por su parte, el Dr. Charles G. Ripley III, de la Universidad del Estado de Arizona, est\u00e1 convencido de que el pr\u00f3ximo Gobierno en Washington \u00abintentar\u00e1 abiertamente trabajar con el Gobierno venezolano\u00bb, puesto que busca acceder a las reservas sudamericanas de petr\u00f3leo.<\/h6>\n

 <\/p>\n

Sin embargo, el polit\u00f3logo recuerda a DW que, en el pasado, Estados Unidos \u00abpatrocin\u00f3 varios golpes de Estado fallidos.<\/h6>\n
<\/h6>\n
La empresa militar privada Silvercorp USA, por ejemplo, fracas\u00f3 estrepitosamente con exmilitares venezolanos en la Operaci\u00f3n Gede\u00f3n\u00bb.<\/h6>\n
<\/h6>\n
Seg\u00fan el experto, \u00abla Administraci\u00f3n entrante seguir\u00e1 apoyando los esfuerzos clandestinos para derrocar a Maduro\u00bb.<\/h6>\n

 <\/p>\n

En opini\u00f3n de Laura Dib, de WOLA, habr\u00e1 que ver si Gonz\u00e1lez Urrutia ser\u00e1 recibido por alg\u00fan integrante\u00a0de la futura Administraci\u00f3n Trump en su actual visita a Estados Unidos.<\/h6>\n

(ers)<\/p>\n

Viola Traeder<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u00bfQu\u00e9 impacto tendr\u00e1 la toma de posesi\u00f3n del pr\u00f3ximo presidente estadounidense, Donald Trump, en la delicada situaci\u00f3n pol\u00edtica en Venezuela?   Durante su primer mandato, Trump intent\u00f3 presionar a Maduro al m\u00e1ximo y fracas\u00f3. Para los venezolanos dentro y fuera del pa\u00eds ha comenzado una cuenta regresiva hasta el diez de enero de 2025, cuando […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":342,"featured_media":11027,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[514,1283,492],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11026","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-donald-trump","category-juan-guaido","category-venezuela"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nVenezuela : Donald Trump entre mano dura y pragmatismo - Radio Miami<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/radiomiami.us\/en\/venezuela-donald-trump-entre-mano-dura-y-pragmatismo\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Venezuela : Donald Trump entre mano dura y pragmatismo - Radio Miami\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u00bfQu\u00e9 impacto tendr\u00e1 la toma de posesi\u00f3n del pr\u00f3ximo presidente estadounidense, Donald Trump, en la delicada situaci\u00f3n pol\u00edtica en Venezuela?   Durante su primer mandato, Trump intent\u00f3 presionar a Maduro al m\u00e1ximo y fracas\u00f3. 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