{"id":10500,"date":"2024-10-29T08:10:31","date_gmt":"2024-10-29T11:10:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/radiomiami.us\/?p=10500"},"modified":"2024-10-29T14:26:23","modified_gmt":"2024-10-29T17:26:23","slug":"argentina-el-riesgo-pais-profundiza-la-baja-y-perfora-el-piso-de-los-900-puntos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/radiomiami.us\/en\/argentina-el-riesgo-pais-profundiza-la-baja-y-perfora-el-piso-de-los-900-puntos\/","title":{"rendered":"ARGENTINA: El riesgo pa\u00eds profundiza la baja y perfora el piso de los 900 puntos."},"content":{"rendered":"<h6><strong>El \u00edndice elaborado por el JP Morgan se ubica en 897 puntos b\u00e1sicos, el valor m\u00e1s bajo en m\u00e1s de cinco a\u00f1os<\/strong><\/h6>\n<p><strong>El riesgo pa\u00eds sigue en baja y perfora la barrera de los 900 puntos b\u00e1sicos.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>El saldo positivo para las reservas del Banco Central (BCRA) en octubre, un mes estacionalmente adverso, el aumento en el \u00edndice de confianza en el Gobierno, los desembolsos de dinero por parte de organismos internacionales, versiones de repo, super\u00e1vit fiscal y el blanqueo de capitales, son algunos de los factores que mencionan los analistas para explicar por qu\u00e9 este \u00edndice toca el valor m\u00e1s bajo desde agosto de 2019.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>En la segunda rueda de la semana, el riesgo pa\u00eds retrocede 17 unidades y se ubica en 897 puntos b\u00e1sicos (-1,86%). <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>El indicador elaborado por el JP Morgan cay\u00f3 30,8% en lo que va de octubre y 53,1% en el a\u00f1o<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Para encontrar una cifra similar, hay que remontarse al viernes previo a las elecciones primarias de agosto de 2019, cuando el \u00edndice se encontraba en 860 puntos b\u00e1sicos. <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Sin embargo, ese fin de semana Alberto Fern\u00e1ndez se impuso en las primarias, lo cual deriv\u00f3 en que al d\u00eda siguiente el riesgo pa\u00eds se disparara a 1460 unidades.\u00a0 \u00a0 <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Dos semanas despu\u00e9s, ya superaba la barrera de los 2500, y ni siquiera con el canje de deuda de 2020 se volvi\u00f3 a ver al \u00edndice en los tres d\u00edgitos.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Riesgo pa\u00eds en la Argentina<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u201cLa abrupta ca\u00edda del riesgo pa\u00eds y un clima de entusiasmo ante anuncios de llegada de d\u00f3lares y la posibilidad de concretar un <i>repo<\/i> lleva a considerar como una posibilidad concreta que el pa\u00eds regrese en 2025 al mercado internacional para refinanciar pr\u00f3ximos pagos. <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Si miramos la parte de deuda con el Fondo Monetario Internacional (FMI), vemos un panorama de vencimientos recargado en la parte de intereses, por lo que con la reciente baja de tasas por parte de la Reserva Federal (FED) y la reducci\u00f3n de los recargos aplicados por el FMI, junto con un aumento del umbral de deuda a partir del cual se cobran estos recargos y una disminuci\u00f3n de la tasa base de los pr\u00e9stamos, la Argentina podr\u00eda verse beneficiada\u201d, dijo Ignacio Morales, analista de Wise Capital.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>La baja del riesgo pa\u00eds es consecuencia directa del <i>rally <\/i>alcista que tuvieron los bonos soberanos de deuda, ya que el \u00edndice mide la diferencia que pagan los bonos del Tesoro de Estados Unidos frente al resto de los pa\u00edses emergentes. <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Este martes, los Bonares suben 1,44% en el exterior (AL41D) y los Globales, hasta 2,21% (GD35D).<\/strong><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El \u00edndice elaborado por el JP Morgan se ubica en 897 puntos b\u00e1sicos, el valor m\u00e1s bajo en m\u00e1s de cinco a\u00f1os El riesgo pa\u00eds sigue en baja y perfora la barrera de los 900 puntos b\u00e1sicos.\u00a0 El saldo positivo para las reservas del Banco Central (BCRA) en octubre, un mes estacionalmente adverso, el aumento [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":342,"featured_media":10502,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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