{"id":10397,"date":"2024-10-12T07:10:44","date_gmt":"2024-10-12T10:10:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/radiomiami.us\/?p=10397"},"modified":"2024-10-12T13:23:51","modified_gmt":"2024-10-12T16:23:51","slug":"las-buenas-noticias-economicas-reivindican-la-economia-de-joe-biden-kamala-harris","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/radiomiami.us\/en\/las-buenas-noticias-economicas-reivindican-la-economia-de-joe-biden-kamala-harris\/","title":{"rendered":"Las buenas noticias econ\u00f3micas reivindican la econom\u00eda de Joe Biden-Kamala Harris"},"content":{"rendered":"
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El \u00e9xito ha desafiado la opini\u00f3n, sostenida por muchos economistas, de que la desinflaci\u00f3n requerir\u00eda a\u00f1os de alto desempleo<\/h6>\n
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\"Paul<\/picture><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/header>\n
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<\/picture>B<\/div>\n\"Billetes<\/picture>\n
\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0Billetes de d\u00f3lares estadounidenses, una de las monedas<\/div>\n
\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 m\u00e1s importantes en el comercio y las finanzas internacionales. –<\/div>\n
\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 (Imagen Ilustrativa Infobae)<\/div>\n
Es dif\u00edcil exagerar lo buenos que han sido los \u00faltimos n\u00fameros econ\u00f3micos.<\/h6>\n

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El viernes, nos enteramos de que el crecimiento del empleo sigue siendo s\u00f3lido, mientras que el desempleo se mantiene hist\u00f3ricamente bajo.<\/h6>\n
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Creo que es seguro decir que la predicci\u00f3n de\u00a0Donald Trump\u00a0<\/b>para 2020 de que una presidencia de\u00a0Joe Biden<\/b>\u00a0significar\u00eda una \u201cdepresi\u00f3n\u201d (una afirmaci\u00f3n que ahora repite al predecir una \u201cgran depresi\u00f3n\u201d si\u00a0Kamala Harris<\/b> gana) no se hizo realidad.<\/h6>\n

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Una semana antes, nos enteramos de que la inflaci\u00f3n ha seguido disminuyendo y ahora est\u00e1 m\u00e1s o menos en el objetivo de la Reserva Federal del 2 por ciento.<\/h6>\n
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Este \u00e9xito ha desafiado la opini\u00f3n, sostenida por muchos economistas hace apenas un par de a\u00f1os, de que la desinflaci\u00f3n requerir\u00eda a\u00f1os de alto desempleo<\/h6>\n

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Entonces,\u00a0\u00bfesta buena noticia reivindica la Bidenomics?<\/b>\u00a0Yo dir\u00eda que s\u00ed, pero no exactamente de la manera que se podr\u00eda imaginar.<\/h6>\n

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Antes de llegar all\u00ed, una palabra sobre los inevitables intentos de Trump y quienes lo rodean de negar la realidad de las buenas noticias. Algunos, como el senador <\/span>Marco Rubio de Florida, simplemente afirman que las cifras son \u201cfalsas\u201d. Adem\u00e1s de calumniar a algunos de los esforzados miembros del personal de las agencias federales de estad\u00edsticas, esas afirmaciones ignoran el hecho de que las estimaciones privadas e independientes tambi\u00e9n muestran un fuerte crecimiento del empleo y una baja inflaci\u00f3n.<\/span><\/strong><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Sin embargo, la principal respuesta del mundo\u00a0MAGA\u00a0<\/b>parece consistir en insistir, como lo hizo Trump en una reciente entrevista en el canal Fox Business, en que \u201clos inmigrantes ilegales que llegan al pa\u00eds son los que consiguen los empleos\u201d.<\/h6>\n

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Afirmaciones como \u00e9sta tienen cierta plausibilidad superficial por el hecho de que el empleo entre los estadounidenses nativos de hecho se ha mantenido estable o ha disminuido en los \u00faltimos a\u00f1os.<\/h6>\n
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Pero esto no sucede porque los estadounidenses nacidos aqu\u00ed no puedan encontrar trabajo: la tasa de desempleo de los nativos es de solo el 3,8 por ciento.<\/h6>\n
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Est\u00e1 sucediendo porque los\u00a0baby boomers\u00a0<\/b>est\u00e1n envejeciendo y cada vez son m\u00e1s los que alcanzan la edad de jubilaci\u00f3n y abandonan la fuerza laboral.<\/h6>\n
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Esto es, por cierto, algo sobre lo que muchos economistas, incluido yo, hemos estado escribiendo durante mucho tiempo.<\/h6>\n
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Si se corrige el envejecimiento de la poblaci\u00f3n considerando solo a los adultos en sus mejores a\u00f1os laborales, la tasa de empleo entre los adultos nacidos en Estados Unidos es m\u00e1s alta ahora que en cualquier otro momento durante la administraci\u00f3n Trump.<\/h6>\n
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En resumen, las buenas noticias econ\u00f3micas son reales, digan lo que digan Trump y sus secuaces. Pero \u00bfmerece cr\u00e9dito la administraci\u00f3n Biden-Harris?<\/h6>\n
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El est\u00edmulo fiscal proporcionado por el\u00a0Plan de Rescate Estadounidense<\/b>, promulgado a principios de 2021, seguramente ayud\u00f3 a la econom\u00eda estadounidense a recuperarse r\u00e1pidamente de la recesi\u00f3n pand\u00e9mica. Pero es dif\u00edcil argumentar que seguir\u00e1 impulsando el crecimiento del empleo en el oto\u00f1o de 2024.<\/h6>\n
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En cuanto a la ca\u00edda de la inflaci\u00f3n, si bien la administraci\u00f3n Biden firm\u00f3 en 2022 una ley llamada Ley de Reducci\u00f3n de la Inflaci\u00f3n, b\u00e1sicamente no ten\u00eda nada que ver con la inflaci\u00f3n; era principalmente un proyecto de ley sobre el clima.<\/h6>\n

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Los propios economistas de la administraci\u00f3n atribuyen la disminuci\u00f3n de la inflaci\u00f3n desde 2022 principalmente al desenredo de las cadenas de suministro que se hab\u00edan visto alteradas por la pandemia.<\/h6>\n
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La pol\u00edtica gubernamental puede haber ayudado un poco a este desenredo, pero principalmente se debi\u00f3 a que nuestra econom\u00eda mostr\u00f3, una vez m\u00e1s, su notable capacidad para adaptarse a los shocks.<\/h6>\n
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Pero si las pol\u00edticas del presidente Biden no fueron la causa principal del bajo desempleo y la inflaci\u00f3n, \u00bfpor qu\u00e9 digo que se justificaron? Porque nuestro \u00e9xito a la hora de llegar al buen lugar en el que nos encontramos ahora demuestra que las pol\u00edticas econ\u00f3micas progresistas son, de hecho, factibles.<\/h6>\n
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Si lees esas advertencias equivocadas de hace unos a\u00f1os de que nuestra econom\u00eda estaba condenada a experimentar una inflaci\u00f3n y una recesi\u00f3n persistentes, algunas representaban preocupaciones sinceras de que el aumento de la inflaci\u00f3n de 2021-22 (que, por cierto, fue global y se produjo en muchos pa\u00edses) se arraigar\u00eda.<\/h6>\n
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Pero muchas de ellas ten\u00edan un tono inconfundible de satisfacci\u00f3n, diciendo impl\u00edcita o expl\u00edcitamente:\u00a0\u201cMira, esto es lo que pasa cuando gastas dinero en cosas que quieren los liberales\u201d.<\/b><\/h6>\n
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De hecho, la administraci\u00f3n Biden impuls\u00f3 una importante ayuda a las familias con ni\u00f1os, grandes subsidios para la energ\u00eda limpia, grandes inversiones en tecnolog\u00eda y m\u00e1s.<\/h6>\n
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Muchos agoreros de la estanflaci\u00f3n vieron lo que imaginaron que ser\u00eda una perspectiva econ\u00f3mica sombr\u00eda como, en efecto, un castigo por esta ambiciosa agenda.<\/h6>\n
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En otras palabras, muchas de esas terribles predicciones sobre la econom\u00eda deben verse como ideol\u00f3gicas, o simplemente como afirmaciones c\u00ednicas de que si intentas proteger el medio ambiente y ayudar a las familias y a las industrias importantes (en lugar de, digamos, recortar los impuestos a los ricos), arruinar\u00e1s la econom\u00eda.<\/h6>\n
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Algunos, como\u00a0Elon Musk<\/b>, b\u00e1sicamente siguen diciendo eso.<\/h6>\n
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Excepto que el castigo nunca lleg\u00f3. En cambio, Estados Unidos ha experimentado un crecimiento s\u00f3lido combinado con una inflaci\u00f3n en descenso.<\/h6>\n
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\u00bfReconsiderar\u00e1n sus puntos de vista quienes insistieron en que las pol\u00edticas progresistas son econ\u00f3micamente desastrosas, dado lo bien que nos ha ido recientemente?<\/b>\u00a0No contengan la respiraci\u00f3n.<\/h6>\n
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Sin embargo, para el resto de nosotros, las buenas noticias econ\u00f3micas confirman que se puede tener \u00e9xito mientras se hace el bien, que Estados Unidos puede prosperar en el presente mientras se prepara para el futuro ayudando a los ni\u00f1os, construyendo infraestructura, promoviendo la transici\u00f3n energ\u00e9tica y m\u00e1s.<\/h6>\n
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Y eso, en un nivel fundamental, es de lo que trataba la Bidenomics: la afirmaci\u00f3n, ahora reivindicada, de que las pol\u00edticas progresistas pueden ir de la mano con la prosperidad.<\/h6>\n

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\u00a9 The New York Times 2024.<\/b><\/i><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

El \u00e9xito ha desafiado la opini\u00f3n, sostenida por muchos economistas, de que la desinflaci\u00f3n requerir\u00eda a\u00f1os de alto desempleo B \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0Billetes de d\u00f3lares estadounidenses, una de las monedas \u00a0 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":342,"featured_media":10398,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[514,502,752,489,540,927,1178],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10397","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-donald-trump","category-eeuu","category-elon-musk","category-inflacion","category-joe-biden","category-kamala-harris","category-maga"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nLas buenas noticias econ\u00f3micas reivindican la econom\u00eda de Joe Biden-Kamala Harris - 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